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论文摘要

急性ST段抬高心肌梗死患者PCI术后死亡危险因素分析及CTRP-1联合GRACE评分在预后评估中的价值

Risk Factors of Death in Patients with Acute ST-segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction after PCI and the Combined Application of CTRP-1 with GRACE Score in Prognosis Evaluation of PCI Treated Patients

作者:郎勇, 冉迅, 汪林, 李伟

Author:LANG Yong, RAN Xun, WANG Lin, LI Wei

收稿日期:2019-03-16          年卷(期)页码:2019,50(6):941-945

期刊名称:四川大学学报(医学版)

Journal Name:JOURNAL OF SICHUAN UNIVERSITY (MEDICAL SCIENCE EDITION)

关键字:补体Cq1/肿瘤坏死因子相关蛋白1, GRACE评分, 急性ST段抬高性心肌梗死, 预后

Key words:C1q/TNF-related protein 1, Global acute coronary event registration score, Acute ST segment elevation infarction, Prognosis

基金项目:

中文摘要

目的 探讨急性ST段抬高性心肌梗死(STEMI)患者经皮冠状动脉介入治疗术(PCI)出院后12个月内死亡的危险因素,以及炎症因子补体Cq1/肿瘤坏死因子相关蛋白1(CTRP-1)联合全球急性冠脉事件注册(GRACE)评分的危险分层对STEMI患者PCI术后出院12个月死亡风险的临床预测价值。 方法 回顾性连续纳入急性STEMI患者326例,死亡组33例,存活组293例。收集患者资料、酶联免疫吸附法(ELISA)检测的血清CTRP-1质量浓度资料,对所有患者进行GRACE评分。以随访期间患者心源性死亡作为终点事件,受试者工作曲线(ROC)评估CTRP-1预测死亡的最佳截点值,单因素及多因素Cox回归分析患者死亡危险因素,生存分析检验CTRP-1在GRACE评分基础上对急性STEMI患者死亡的预测价值。 结果 与存活组比较,死亡组患者平均动脉压、左心室射血分数(LVEF)低及左主干病变率高,肌酐、肌钙蛋白T较高(P < 0.05),死亡组患者CTRP-1质量浓度高于存活组(P < 0.001),死亡组患者中66.7%属于GRACE评分的高危组,高于存活组患者中20.1%属于GRACE评分的高危组。ROC曲线分析,CTRP-1的曲线下面积为0.874(P < 0.001),其截点值为187.9 ng/mL时,预测患者死亡的敏感性为92.5%,特异度为73.6%。Cox生存回归分析显示,平均动脉压、LVEF值、GRACE评分高危及CTRP-1高值(≥187.9 ng/mL)是预测患者死亡的独立危险因素之一。生存分析显示,在GRACE评分高危组中,CTRP-1高值的患者累计生存率低于CTRP-1水平较低的患者(P < 0.001)。 结论 平均动脉压、LVEF值、GRACE评分高危及CTRP-1高值是预测患者死亡的危险因素, CTRP-1联合GRACE评分对急性STEMI患者预后评估具有临床价值。

英文摘要

ObjectiveTo explore the risk factors of 12-month mortality in patients with acute ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), and to evaluate the combined use of inflammatory factor complement Cq1/tumor necrosis factor-related protein-1 (CTRP-1) with global acute coronary event registration (GRACE) score in the patients with STEMI after PCI in terms of prognostic prediction for 12-month mortality risk.Methods326 acute STEMI patients were included retrospectively, with 33 patients in the death group and 293 patients in the survival group. Clinical data of patients and serum CTRP-1 concentration detected by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) were collected, and all patients were evaluated by GRACE score. The cut-off point of CTRP-1 for predicting mortality was determined by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Cox regression model was used to analyze the risk factors of death. The predictive value of CTRP-1 combined with GRACE score was tested by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis.ResultsCompared with the survival group, the average arterial pressure, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and left main lesion rate were lower, creatinine and troponin T were higher in the death group (P< 0.05). the mass concentration of ctrp-1 in the death group was higher than that in the survival group (P< 0.001). the proportion of patients in the high-risk group of grace score was 66.7% in the death group and 20.1% in the survival group. the area under the roc curve of ctrp-1 was 0.874 (P< 0.001), and the sensitivity and specificity of predicting death were 92.5% and 73.6% respectively with the cut-off point of ctrp-1 187.9 ng/ml. cox regression model showed that mean arterial pressure, lvef, grace score and high ctrp-1 (>187.9 ng/mL) were independent risk factors for predicting death. Survival analysis showed that the cumulative survival rate of patients with high CTRP-1 level was lower than low CTRP-1 level in the high-risk group of GRACE score (P< 0.001).ConclusionsMean arterial pressure, LVEF value, GRACE score and CTRP-1 are risk factors for predicting mortality. Combined application of CTRP-1 with GRACE score has clinical value in prognostic evaluation of acute STEMI patients.

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