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论文摘要

汶川县地震诱发崩滑灾害影响因素的敏感性分析

Triggering Factors Susceptibility of Earthquake-Induced Collapses and Landslides in Wenchuan County

作者:向灵芝(中国科学院成都山地灾害与环境研究所);崔鹏(中国科学院成都山地灾害与环境研究所)

Author:xianglingzhi(Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment,CAS);cuipeng(Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment,CAS)

收稿日期:2010-04-14          年卷(期)页码:2010,42(5):105-112

期刊名称:工程科学与技术

Journal Name:Advanced Engineering Sciences

关键字:汶川地震;崩塌滑坡;敏感性;确定性系数(CF);

Key words:Wenchuan earthquake;collapse and landslide;susceptibility analysis;certainty factor (CF);

基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展计划

中文摘要

震后遥感影像与调查结果表明,汶川Ms 8.0级地震在汶川县城约4083km2的区域内诱发了5528余处崩塌、滑坡灾害。利用GIS技术对地震地质灾害的分布与地层岩性、距断裂距离、坡度、高程等因素的关系进行统计分析,结合崩滑的确定性系数方法(CF),对诸影响因子进行敏感性分析,确定了该区域内各因子最利于地震滑坡发育的数值区间,结果表明:地震崩塌滑坡主要分布在元古界、震旦系、二叠系硬质岩石分布的地层里,坡度为大于40°的坡体上;活动断裂10公里缓冲区内,未动断裂6公里缓冲区内崩滑密集分布;崩滑发育较有利的高程范围位于1000~2500 m;相对高差范围位于600~1000m之间,岷江干流对崩滑分布起绝对控制作用。分析结果得出影响本次崩塌滑坡分布的因子具有地震波传播介质效应和距离效应;由地震产生的崩滑与降雨诱发的崩滑在岩性、坡度的发生区间上有较为明显的区别;并为进行其他地区区域地震崩滑灾害稳定性评价提供了可以借鉴的科学依据。

英文摘要

The remote sensing image and the survey results after the earthquake showed that,the Wenchuan Ms8.0 Earthquake had induced more than 5528 collapses and landslides in the Wenchuan County with the area of about 4083 km2. Based on GIS, the statistical relationships of the collapses and landslides distribution and the factors,such as lithology,the distance to faults,slope gradient,elevation and others,was analyzed. Susceptibility of triggering factors of Wenchuan Earthquake was analyzed by the means of slope certainty factors (CF). The most numerical intervals of each factor which are inclined to hazards were determined. The results showed that the hazards mainly distributed in the stratum of Proterozoic,Sinian and Permian with hard rock;in the slope of more than 40 degree;within a 10 km buffer zone to the active faults and fixed within 6 km to the no active faults;the collapses and landslides distributed mainly in the area of the elevation 1000~2500 m;mainly range in relative height between 600~1000m;the mainstream of the Min River absolutely controlled the hazard distribution. The conclusions indicated that the factors had effect of seismic wave propagation in media and distance effect;there was significant different numerical interval which inclined to collapses and landslides in lithology and slope between induced by earthquake and by rainfall. This research can provide a good referential and scientific basis for steady susceptibility analysis of earthquake-induced collapses and landslides in other regions.

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