股指期货对现货市场信息效率影响的实证研究
The Impacts of Stock Index Futures on Informational Efficiency of Cash Markets:An Empirical Study
作者:缪晓波;冯用富;刘学;王娜;李瑛;
Author:
收稿日期: 年卷(期)页码:2008,(06):-129-135
期刊名称:四川大学学报(哲学社会科学版)
Journal Name:Journal of Sichuan University (Social Science Edition)
关键字:股指期货;现货市场;信息效率;近似熵
Key words:
基金项目:教育部人文社会科学研究基金重点研究基地重大研究项目“过渡期后中国出口贸易摩擦预警研究”(05JJD790)
中文摘要
成熟股票市场的信息效率在股指期货刚推出时(第一年)的信息效率或提高或降低,而新兴市场普遍降低;随着股指期货的发展及逐渐成熟与稳定,成熟市场和新兴市场的信息效率均随着股指期货的不同发展阶段呈现"先下降后升高"的趋势,表明从长期来看,股指期货对现货市场具有促进作用,两个市场最终趋于长期的动态均衡。
参考文献
[1]EDWARDS F.Does futures trading increase stock market volatility-[J].Financial Analysts Journal,January/February,1998:63-69.
[2]BECKETTIHE S,ROBERTS D.J.Will Increased Regulation of Stock Index Futures Reduce Stock Market Volatility-[J].Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Review,November/Dezember,1990:33-46.
[3]FRERES A.F.The Effects of the Introduction of Stock Index Future on Stock Prices:The Experience of Hong Kong1984-1987[J].Pacific Basin Capital Market Research,1990:409-416.
[4]HODGSON A,NICHOLLS D.The Impact of Index Futures Markets on Australian Sharemarket Volatility[J].Journal ofBusiness Finance&Accounting,1991,18:267-280.
[5]BALDAUF B,SANTONI G J.Stock Price Volatility:Some Evidence from an ARCHModel[J].Journal of Futures Mar-kets,1991,11(2):191-200.
[6]BRORSEN B W.Futures Trading,Transactions Costs and Stock Market Volatility[J].Journal of Futures Markets,1991,11:153-163.
[7]GERETY M S,MULHERIN J H.Patterns in Intraday Stock Market Volatility,Past and Present[J],Financial AnalystsJournal,1991,47,(5):71-79.
[8]LEE S B,OHK K Y.Stock and Index Futures Listing and Structure Change in Time-Varying Volatility[J].Journal ofFutures Markets,1992,12:493-509.
[9]PERICLE A,KOUTMOS G.Index Futures and Options and Stock Market Volatility[J].Journal of Futures Markets,1997,17:957-974.
[10]Charles Sutcliffe.Stock index futures[M].International Thomson Business Press,U.K.1997.
[11]GULEN H,Stewart Mayhew,Stock Index Futures Trading and Volatility in International Equity Markets[R].Workingpaper,Purdue University,2002.
[12]BESSEMBINDER H,SEGUIN P J.Futures trading activity and stock price volatility[J].Journal of Finance,1992,47,(5):2015-2034.
[13]ROBINSONG.The effect of future trading on cash market volatility:evidence from London stock exchange[R].Bank ofEngland Working Paper,1993.
[14]ANTONIOUA,HOLMES P,PRIESTLEY R.The Effects of Stock Index Futures Trading on Stock Index Volatility-An A-nalysis of the Asymmetric Response of Volatility to News[J].Journal of Futures Markets,1998,18,(2):151-166.
[15]RAHMAN S.The introduction of Derivatives on the Dow Jones Industrial Average and their Impact on the Volatility ofComponent Stocks,Journal of Futures Markets,2001,21,(7):633-653.
[16]HARRIS L.S&P500 Cash Stock Price Volatilities[J].Journal of Finace,1989,46:1155-1175.
[17]DAMODARAN A.Index Futures and Stock Market Volatility[J].Review of Futures Markets,1990,9:442-457.
[18]LOCKWOOD L,LINN S.An Examination of Stock Market Return Volatility During Overnight and Intraday Periods:1964-1989[J].Journal of Finance,1990,45,(2):591-601.
[19]ANTONIOU A,HOLMES P.Futures Trading,Information and Spot Price Volatility:Evidence for the FTSE-100 StockIndex Futures Contract Using GARCH[J].Journal of Banking&Finance,1995,19:117-29.
[20]AGGARWAL R.Stock Index Futures and Cash Market Volatility[J].Reviewof Futures Markets,1988,7,(2):290-299.
[21]LASSTSCHF E.A Note on the Effects of the Initiation of Major Market Index Future on the Daily Returns of ComponentStochks[J].Journal of Futures Markets,1991,11,(3):313-317.
[22]JEGADEESH N,SUBRAHMANYAM A.Liquidity Effects of the S&P500 Index Futures Contract on the UnderlyingStocks[J].Journal of Business,1993,66,(2):489-506.
[23]CHANG E C,CHENG J W,MICHAELJ.PINEGAR.Does Futures Trading Increase Stock Market Volatility-The Caseof the NILLEI Stock Index Futures Markets[J].Journal of Banking&Finance,1999,23:727-753.
[24]KAWALLER I G,KOCHP D,KOCHTW.The Temporal Price Relationship between S&P 500 Futures Prices and theS&P 500 Index[J].Journal of Finance,1987,5:1309-1329.
[25]STOLL HR,WHALEY R E.The Dynamics of Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Returns[J].Journal of Quantitativeand Fiancial Analysis,1990,25:441-468.
[26]Mahmoud Wahab,Malek Lashgari.Price Dynamics and Error Correction in Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Mar-kets,A Cointegration Approach[J].Journal of Futures Markets,1993,13:711-742.
[27]Ostdiek Fleming.Trading Costs and the Relative Rates of Price Discovery in the Stock,Futures and Options Market[J].Journal of Futures Markets,1996,16:353-387.
[28]PIZZI M A,EOCMOMOPOULOS A J,HEATHER O’Neil M.An Examination of the Relato\ionship Between StockIndex Cash and Futures Markets:A Co-integration Approach[J].Journal of Futures Markets,1998,18:297-305.
[29]Frank De Jong,MONIUE W.M.Intraday Lead-Lag Relationship between the Futures,options and Stock Market[J].European Finance Review,1998,1:337-359.
[30]肖辉,鲍建平,吴冲锋.股指与股指期货价格发现过程研究[J].系统工程学报,2006,21(4):438-441.
[31]马瑾,曹廷贵.商品期货风险溢价与市场结构[J].西南民族大学学报,2008,(3.)
[32]Chan,KALOK K C,CHANG,Andrens kardyi Intraday Volatility in the Stock Index and Stock Index Futures Markets[J].Review of Financial Studies,1991,4:657-684.
[33]CORNELL B,FRENCHK R.Taxes and the Pricing of Stock Index Futures[J].Journal of Fiance,1983,38,(3):675-694.
[34]KAWALLER L,Koch T.Cash-and-Carry Trading and the Pricing of Treasury bill Furfures[J].The Journal of Fu-tures Markets,1984,4,(2):115-223.
[35]FAMA E F.efficient capital markets:A reviewof theory and empirical work[J].Journal of Finance,1970,25:383-417.
[36]West,Tinic.On the Difference between Internal and External Market Efficiency[J].Financial Analysis Journal,1975:30-34.
[37]James Dow,Gary Gorton.Stock Market Efficiency and Economic Efficiency:Is There a Connection-[J].Journal of Fi-nance,1997,52,(3):1087-1129.
[38]LO A W,MACKINLAY A C.Stock market price do not follow random walks:evidence from a simple specification test[J].Review of Financial Studies,1988:41-66.
[39]HOUK,MOSKOWITZ TJ.Market frictions,price delay,and the cross-section of expected returns[J].Review of Fi-nancial Studies,2005,18:981-1020.
[40]ROLL R.R2[J].Journal of Finance,1988,43:541-566.
[41]MORCK R,YERNG B,YU W.The information content of stock markets:Why do emerging markets have synchronousstock price movements-[J].Journal of Financial Economics,2000,58:215-260.
[42]HASBROUCK J.Trading costs and returns for U.S.equities:Estimating effective cost from daily data[D].Workingpaper,New York University.2006.
【关闭】