期刊导航

论文摘要

基于改进后灰靶模型的四川省水资源紧缺度评价

Shortage Degree Assessment of Water Resources in Sichuan Province Based on Improved Grey Target Model

作者:李红(四川大学 建筑与环境学院;西华师范大学 国土资源学院);周波(四川大学 建筑与环境学院)

Author:Li Hong(School of Environment and Architecture,Sichuan Univ.; College of Land and Resources,China West Normal Univ.);Zhou Bo(School of Environment and Architecture,Sichuan Univ.)

收稿日期:2011-06-14          年卷(期)页码:2012,44(1):43-49

期刊名称:工程科学与技术

Journal Name:Advanced Engineering Sciences

关键字:水资源;紧缺度评价;灰靶模型;熵权法;靶心度

Key words:water resources;shortage degree assessment;grey target model;entropy weight method;approaching degree

基金项目:国家“十一五”科技支撑计划资助项目(2006BAJ01A12-06)

中文摘要

针对传统灰靶模型等权不合理的问题,尝试引入指标权重对模型加以改进。为提高权重的可信度,采用熵权法与层次分析法(AHP法)相结合的方法确定指标权重(综合权重),由此建立了基于综合权重的改进后灰靶评价模型,并将其应用于四川省水资源紧缺度评价。结果表明,基于综合权重的改进后灰靶评价模型对于水资源紧缺度评价是可行且有效的。与传统的灰靶评价模型和采用熵权法、AHP法确定指标权重的改进后模型相比,主客观结合确定指标权重的改进后灰靶模型更具科学性和合理性,且该方法思路清晰,计算简洁,并能形象地展示各要素层间的相互关系,

英文摘要

The traditional grey target model was improved by weights.In order to improve the reliability of the index weight,entropy method combined with AHP method was used to determine the index weight,then an improved grey target model based on comprehensive weights was proposed.Its efficiency was verified by evaluating shortage degree of water resources of Sichuan province.Compared with traditional grey target model,the proposed method is scientific,rational,simple for concept and calculation,and can display progressive relation clearly.

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